What You See Is Not What You Get

Virginia

Suffolk Poll Party ID

  • Democrats – 38% +1
  • Republicans – 35% -1
  • Independents – 27% +0

2008 Party ID

  • Democrats – 39%
  • Republicans – 33%
  • Independents – 27%

2004 Party ID

  • Democrats – 35%
  • Republicans – 39%
  • Independents – 26%

Accurate 2012 Poll Party ID

  • Democrats – 37%
  • Republicans – 36%
  • Independents – 27%

This poll is within a reasonable margin to be deemed accurate for botht eh Senate and Presidential Races. Obama leads Romney, 46% to 44% (within the margin of error) in the Presidential Race while Kaine and Allen are tied at 44% for the U.S. Senate race.

Connecticut

PPP Poll Party ID

  • Democrats – 43% +3
  • Republicans – 26% -2
  • Independents – 32% +0

2008 Party ID

  • Democrats – 43%
  • Republicans – 27%
  • Independents – 31%

2004 Party ID

  • Democrats – 37%
  • Republicans – 30%
  • Independents – 33% 

Accurate 2012 Poll Party ID

  • Democrats – 40%
  • Republicans – 28%
  • Independents – 32%

This poll was skewed in a net 5-point advantage for the Democrats according to my analysis. When un-skewed, this poll shows President Obama with a 51% to 43% lead over Romney in the Presidential Race.

Washington

Gravis Poll Party ID

  • Democrats – 36% +0
  • Republicans – 27% +0
  • Independents – 37% +0

2008 Party ID

  • Democrats – 36%
  • Republicans – 26%
  • Independents – 39%

2004 Party ID

  • Democrats – 36%
  • Republicans – 32%
  • Independents – 33%

Accurate 2012 Poll Party ID

  • Democrats – 36%
  • Republicans – 27%
  • Independents – 37%

This poll is accurately portraying an Obama lead of 56% to 39% over Romney.

Minnesota 

Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon Poll Party ID

  • Democrats – 35% +4
  • Republicans – 25% -10
  • Independents – 40% +14

2008 Party ID

  • Democrats – 40%
  • Republicans – 35%
  • Independents – 25%

2004 Party ID

  • Democrats – 38%
  • Republicans – 35%
  • Independents – 27%

Accurate 2012 Poll Party ID

  • Democrats – 39%
  • Republicans – 35%
  • Independents – 26%

This poll shows a very skewed picture of the U.S. Senate Race in Minnesota. Republicans were highly under-polled in this latest poll. In my analysis, Klobuchar still lead Bills, but in a tighter race of 50% to 35%, only a 15-point advantage to Klobuchar as opposed to a 29-point advantage.

Author:Cody Baker

Cody is currently pursuing his bachelors degree in Mass Communications and Journalism at Southeast Missouri State University. He plans to pursue a degree in International Relations upon graduation from SEMO and has plans to also obtain a law degree. He is a passionate Republican and an even more passionate Mitt Romney supporter. Cody recently attended the Republican National Convention in Tampa Florida as a delegate from the 3rd Congressional District in the State of Missouri.

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