Two New Polls Show Romney Leading by 15 Points in Illinois

Poll Watch: American Research Group Illinois 2012 Republican Primary Survey

ARG Illinois 2012 GOP Primary Poll 

  • Mitt Romney 44%
  • Rick Santorum 30%
  • Newt Gingrich 13%
  • Ron Paul 8%
  • Other 1%
  • Undecided 4%

 

Among Republicans (76%)

  • Mitt Romney 45%
  • Rick Santorum 35%
  • Newt Gingrich 12%
  • Ron Paul 4%
  • Other 1%
  • Undecided 3%

Among Independents (24%)

  • Mitt Romney 42%
  • Ron Paul 20%
  • Newt Gingrich 17%
  • Rick Santorum 16%
  • Other 1%
  • Undecided 4%

Among Tea Party Supporters (43%)

  • Mitt Romney 41%
  • Rick Santorum 35%
  • Newt Gingrich 21%
  • Ron Paul 2%
  • Other 0%
  • Undecided 1%

Among Non-Tea Party GOP Primary Voters (57%)

  • Mitt Romney 47%
  • Rick Santorum 27%
  • Ron Paul 12%
  • Newt Gingrich 7%
  • Other 2%
  • Undecided 5%

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted March 17-18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 76% Republican; 24% Independent.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

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Poll Watch: PPP (D) Illinois 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Illinois 2012 GOP Primary Poll 

  • Mitt Romney 45%
  • Rick Santorum 30%
  • Newt Gingrich 12%
  • Ron Paul 10%
  • Someone else/Not sure 2%

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

  • Strongly committed to that candidate 72%
  • Might end up supporting someone else 28%

 

If the Republican candidates were just Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

  • Mitt Romney 45%
  • Rick Santorum 34%
  • Ron Paul 14%
  • Not sure 7%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Mitt Romney 57% / 34% {+23%}
  • Rick Santorum 55% / 36% {+19%}
  • Newt Gingrich 46% / 43% {+3%}
  • Ron Paul 35% / 54% {-19%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

  • Yes 25%
  • No 61%

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

  • Are an Evangelical 36%
  • Are not 64%

Do you think Barack Obama is a Christian or a Muslim, or are you not sure?

  • Christian 24%
  • Muslim 39%
  • Not sure 37%

Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States, or not?

  • He was 36%
  • He was not 36%
  • Not sure 28%

Do you believe in evolution, or not?

  • Believe in evolution 41%
  • Do not 43%
  • Not sure 16%

Do you think that interracial marriage should be legal or illegal?

  • Legal 75%
  • Illegal 16%
  • Not sure 9%

Survey of 506 likely voters was conducted March 17-18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 79% Republican; 17% Independent; 4% Democrat. Ideology: 39% Somewhat conservative; 35% Very conservative; 19% Moderate; 5% Somewhat liberal; 2% Very liberal.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

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