Posts Tagged Mike Huckabee

PAC Fundraising Results for 2009…Romney Leads The Way, Again

Mitt Romney PAC Fundraising

From Nate Gunderson at Race42012:

The Year-End reports for the various PACs are now in. Here are the raw numbers for the Free and Strong America PAC (Romney), Sarah PAC (Palin), Huck PAC (Huckabee), and the Freedom First PAC (Pawlenty):

FnSA-PAC Huck-PAC Sarah-PAC FF-PAC
Cash On Hand Start of 2009 $338K $80K $0K $0K
Cash On Hand End of 2009 $1125K $192K $928K $884K
Contributions > $200 $2022K $223K $756K $1141K
Contributions <= $200 $849K $590K $1367K $94K
Contributions from other PACs $42K $10K $8K $45K
Total Contributions: $2870K $813K $2131K $1280K
Other Income $695K $11K $1K $0K
Total Income $3565K $824K $2132K $1280K
Operating Expenses: $2669K $668K $1142K $380K
Donations to Others: $58K $20K $46K $17K
Other Expenses: $51K $24K $16K $0K
Total Expenses: $2,778K $712K $1204K $396K

First, a few comments:

  • Only FnSA-PAC and Huck-PAC were in existence the entire year of 2009. Sarah-PAC was in operation for eleven months and FF-PAC only for the last three.
  • The first three months of a PAC’s existence are often “Barn Burners”.  Their numbers usually settle down after that first quarter.
  • The “<=$200″ and “>$200″ categories are often misunderstood.  The numbers reflect the total contributed by that person for the entire year. So for example if one supporter donates $20 every month to a PAC, they would end up donating $240 for the entire year and thus would be classed in the ‘>$200′ catagory even though they had made twelve sub-$200 donations.

Here are the Contributions per Month numbers:

FnSA-PAC Huck-PAC Sarah-PAC FF-PAC
$239K $68K $194K $427K

As you can see, Pawlenty did far and away the best here.  Since this consists entirely of the FF-PAC’s first quarter year of existence, it is difficult to compare apples to apples with the rest of them.  The numbers next year will give us a better idea on how well he is doing in relationship to the others.  In the meantime, Romney led the rest with Palin close behind with about 80% of his total.  Huckabee is far back with only about 16% of Pawlenty’s, 28% of Romney’s, and 35% of Palin’s.

Here are the percentage of $200 or less donations for each candidate:

FnSA-PAC Huck-PAC Sarah-PAC FF-PAC
30% 73% 64% 8%

Huckabee  received the greatest portion of his donations from small donations — nearly 3 out every 4 dollars he took in came from this catagory.  He was followed closely by Palin — nearly 2 out of three dollars.  Romney had one out of three dollars of donations that came from this source.  Pawlenty had less than one in ten.

As with all percentages, it is important to remember the raw numbers here.  For instance, even though Huckabee’s percentage was more than double that of Romney’s, he in actuality took in considerably less money from “sub-$200″ contributors than Romney.

Here are the percentages of “Donations to Others” to “Total Contributions Received”:

FnSA-PAC Huck-PAC Sarah-PAC FF-PAC
2.00% 2.14% 2.13% 1.31%

As can be seen, Romney, Huckabee, and Palin are all well within the same ballpark while Pawlenty lags behind.  This is understandable since they are just getting started.

All PAC s have similar numbers.  The sad fact of the matter is they are all extremely inefficient at getting your money into the hands of outside people and causes the PAC supports.  They exist primarily to promote the cause of the PAC’s controller.  If you want money to get to a particular candidate, it is far better to contribute directly to his campaign or his PAC than to an outside PAC.  Less than a penny of your donation dollar will make it to him from the outside PAC.

I am looking forward to July of next year.  That is when the mid-year numbers will come out.  All PACs must file them mid-year reports.  They will all have been in existence for more than three months.  That means those numbers will be apples to apples — no caveats.

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New “Insiders” Poll Has Romney at The Top For The Strongets Candidate To Go Against Obama

National Journal Magazine has a new political “insiderss” poll out today showing that both Republican and Democrat insiders believe that Romney will be the strongest candidate to face Obama.   You can see the Republican insiders overwhelmingly gave Romney their confidence.

Mitt Romney ranks highest to defeat Barak Obama

Mitt Romney Ranks as Strongest Candidate to Go Against Obama

Q: Who would be the Republicans’ strongest presidential nominee in 2012?

Democrats (111 votes)

Rank/Candidate
1. Mitt Romney 29 percent
2. John Thune 15 percent
3. Tim Pawlenty 13 percent
4. Mitch Daniels 11 percent
5. Newt Gingrich 6 percent
6. Haley Barbour 5 percent
6. Jeb Bush 5 percent
8. Mike Huckabee 3 percent
8. Bobby Jindal 3 percent
8. Sarah Palin 3 percent

Also receiving votes: Dick Cheney, 2 percent; Michael Bloomberg, Eric Cantor, Jon Huntsman, Rick Perry, Colin Powell, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, no one, 1 percent each.

Romney

“He can raise money, has something of a national base, has been around the presidential block, can talk about the economy, looks good on TV, and handles himself well.”

Q: Please rank the top five candidates, 1 through 5, in terms of who you think is most likely to capture the 2012 Republican presidential nomination.

Republicans (109 votes)

Rank/Candidate/Insiders Index*
1. Mitt Romney 81
2. Tim Pawlenty 46
3. John Thune 38
4. Haley Barbour 28
5. Mitch Daniels 25
5. Sarah Palin 25
7. Newt Gingrich 14
7. Mike Huckabee 14
9. Jeb Bush 6
10. Bobby Jindal 5

*METHODOLOGY: All 127 Republicans among National Journal’s Political Insiders were asked to name and rank the top five contenders for their party’s 2012 presidential nomination; 109 participated. In tallying the rankings, a first-place vote was worth 5 points, a second-place vote 4 points, and so on. The Insiders Index reflects the percentage of points that each contender received out of the maximum possible. For example, Mitt Romney scored an Index rating of 81, meaning he received 81 percent of the possible 545 points, the number he would have had if all 109 participants had ranked him first.

Romney

“In a downturn, trading a community organizer for a businessman may seem like a no-brainer.”

Mark B. Lowe over at Race42012.com gave this analysis:

My analysis: The first thing that leaps out at me is the questions. It is not, “Whom would you vote for”, or ,”Whom would you like to see”? The question to the Democrats was, “Whom would be the strongest opponent”? The question to the Republicans was, “Who is the most likely to obtain the nomination”? Note the difference? None of this “favorables” touchy-feely stuff.

The second thing that strikes me is the term “political insiders”. The grass roots like to sneer at them, but it has long been my experience that the middle layers of any organization are the ones who really run things. They are the ones that make things work in spite of the ravings from the top. The top determine policy. The middle actually sees that it gets done in spite of the top echelon in many cases. So don’t blame them for the policy screw-ups during the Bush years.

These are not part-time political junkies. These are the guys whose very jobs and careers depend on their political judgment. If outsiders such as us call a political shot wrong, we lose face. If they call a political shot wrong, they lose their jobs.

The final thing that strikes me is that I pretty much agree with them. As I see it now, the two people most likely to win the nomination are Pawlenty and Romney. They are the ones making the right moves in order to lay a foundation for a successful run. Huckabee and Palin are acting more like celebrities than candidates. If they are truly going to run, I see them making the same mistakes now that ultimately cost Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson the nomination last time.


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Mitt Romney on Plans For 2012 and Ann Romney’s Health

Mitt and Ann Romney were recently by Fox News’ Gretchen.  That interview will air on Wedsnesday.  Here are some excerpts of what Governor Romney had to say about his plans for 2012.

Mitt-and-Ann-Romney-on-Fox-News

Former Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney says he will decide after the 2010 Congressional elections whether to take on pro-abortion President Barack Obama. Romney, the former Massachusetts governor, ran as a pro-life candidate against eventual nominee John McCain.

Romney is one of several Republicans considering a bid against Obama and consistently polls in the top three in most surveys of Republicans and American voters.

He has ranked as one of the top potential candidates along with pro-life former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee.

In a new interview with Fox News slated to air Wednesday, Romney discusses his plans.

“It’s always a possibility, and you keep the options open, but, you concentrate on the task ahead, for me that’s trying to get some good people elected in 2010,” he says on the Fox News program “Fox and Friends.”

“And, I know once that’s done the next item on the agenda is what’s 2012 going to be; and, Ann and I will give that some thought and make the decision then,” he added.

Appearing like a candidate, or at least an advocate for “change” in 2010, Romney voiced criticism of Obama, saying he has governed from the left when he pledged to be a moderate.

“I had higher hopes for him,” Romney said. “I knew he was a smart individual — I thought that he would learn that governing from the middle was the right way to go, as president Clinton learned his second term, but he’s made a lot of the mistakes that ideologues often do, which is thinking that everybody in the country voted for their extreme agenda.”

Romney also talked about Palin in the interview on the Fox News show and diffused rumors that she may consider a third-party presidential bid.

“I don’t know what her plans are but my expectation is that she’ll stay in the Republican party,” he said.

“Look, she’s a great, energizing member of the party. She has good ideas that have galvanized a lot of support for the party and she’s a welcome addition,” he added.

During the campaign, Romney said he is pro-life on abortion and went as far as endorsing the overturning of Roe v. Wade so states can again protect women and unborn children from abortion.

However, the former governor came under fire from some quarters for his state health care plan, which includes taxpayer-funded abortions. Romney countered that the state Supreme Court required abortion funding under the program.

A Gallup survey asked Republicans to say whether they would like any of several potential presidential candidates.

Some 71 percent of Republicans say they would seriously consider voting for Huckabee while the same 65 percent say they would consider Romney or Palin, both of whom ran as pro-life candidates in 2008.

A previous Rasmussen poll found 29% of Republican voters nationwide say Huckabee is their pick to represent the GOP in the 2012 presidential campaign.

The survey had 24 percent preferring Romney and 18% would cast their vote for pro-life former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin.

The full interview is set to air on Wednesday but Fox was able to give us a peak into their interview with Ann:



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Evangelicals For Mitt: A FEW QUESTIONS FOR 2010

I sure wish Evangelicals For Mitt had the option on commenting on their posts.  I say we all send Nancy and David French e-mails requesting they do so because there are a number of posts that seem like they are designed for commenting but no one can do so.  That’s not a true blog!

At any rate, David created a post with a few questions for 2010, which I would like to respond to on his blog, but again, no option to do so.  David has a few prediction of his own and I’d like to see what other’s perspectives are on what David had to say and how things will go for Huckabee, Palin, Romney and Obama.

Here is an excerpt from David French’s post:

(2) How much longer before Mike Huckabee goes after Sarah Palin with both barrels? Right now Huckabee is reeling, but a politician doesn’t go to the pages of the Washington Post to defend his horrific clemency record when he intends to go gently into that good night. I will give one prediction: Mike Huckabee will attempt a political comeback. But Sarah Palin will stand in his way. Her poll numbers are strengthening, she’s an Evangelical Christian, and she has one huge advantage over Huckabee (and no, it’s not her looks): She’s actually conservative.

If there’s one thing we learned about Mike Huckabee, it’s that the (former) pastor has a thin skin and some sharp claws. In time he’ll learn he can’t beat Mitt Romney unless he first beats Sarah Palin. Good luck with that, Governor.

Mitt Romney, Sarah Palin and Mike Huckabee 2012 Obama on the economy

If I could respond to David, I would tell him that I think he is spot on with his prediction of Palin and Huckabee, and the difficulty a Palin run would cause to a Huckabee campaign.  I actually did a post not too long ago titled “Huckabee’s greatest fear for 2012 -Sarah Palin” in which I stated pretty much the same things that David in his article quoted above, and how I think Mitt will benefit from it.

Please, share your prediction and don’t be afraid to speculate.  Speculation is really fun!  So let’s have fun with this.

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Conservatives Not Happy With Mike Huckabee Over Cop Killings

Politico has this article out on how Conservatives unleashed heck on Mike Huckabee for granting clemency to the man accused of killing 4 police officers just nine years after clemency was granted.

Huckabee-ClemencyThe conservative blogosphere unleashed a torrent of criticism against Mike Huckabee Monday after a man whose sentence he commuted as Arkansas governor was suspected of gunning down four police officers in Washington state over the weekend.

Maurice Clemmons, whom Huckabee granted clemency to nine years ago, remained at large after local police in Lakewood, Wash. mistakenly thought they had him trapped in a house early Monday. Clemmons is reported to have shot the officers as they were sitting at a table in a local coffee shop.

While many details of the murders were still unclear Monday, leading online conservative voices were quick to pass judgment on Huckabee, whose 2008 presidential campaign was forced to respond to accusations that he was too lenient with violent criminals during his years as governor.

“The man being sought by police was granted clemency by former GOP Arkansas Mike Huckabee despite his violent history and vehement protestations from prosecutors and victims’ family members,” wrote conservative Michelle Malkin on her widely read blog. “This disaster is just one of Huckabee’s ill-considered clemency legacies.”

“This isn’t Huckabee’s first Horton moment,” Malkin continued, referring to the convicted murderer who raped a woman during a weekend furlough program supported by then-Massachusetts governor and later Democratic presidential nominee Michael Dukakis. Willie Horton was featured prominently in damaging ads from George H.W. Bush’s presidential campaign painting the Massachusetts Democrat as soft on crime.

On his conservative RedState blog, Erick Erickson wrote that the shooting “is going to be extremely problematic for Governor Huckabee.”

Read the rest here.

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