If this latest poll is accurate, Scott Brown should win this election, even if Martha Coakley does receive a little boost from President Obama’s visit.  Find out how you can help here or by clicking on the image below.  If you are a Massachusetts resident, go here to find your local polling place. Polls are open from 7:00am to 8:00pm.

Here is the polling data:

PPP (D) Massachusetts Senatorial Survey

• Scott Brown 51% (48%)
• Martha Coakley 46% (47%)

Among Men

• Scott Brown 56% (53%)
• Martha Coakley 41% (41%)

Among Women

• Martha Coakley 50% (52%)
• Scott Brown 46% (42%)

Among Democrats

• Martha Coakley 77% (77%)
• Scott Brown 19% (17%)

Among Republicans

• Scott Brown 90% (90%)
• Martha Coakley 8% (6%)

Among Independents

• Scott Brown 64% (63%)
• Martha Coakley 32% (31%)

Among Moderates

• Scott Brown 55% (49%)
• Martha Coakley 41% (42%)

Among McCain Voters

• Scott Brown 94% (90%)
• Martha Coakley 4% (7%)

Among Obama Voters

• Martha Coakley 76% (79%)
• Scott Brown 20% (15%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Scott Brown 56% (57%) / 37% (25%) {+19%}
• Martha Coakley 44% (50%) / 51% (42%) {-7%}
• Democrats in Congress 30% (33%) / 55% (55%) {-25%}
• Republicans in Congress 22% (21%) / 63% (59%) {-41%}

Among Independents

• Scott Brown 68% (70%) / 27% (16%) {+41%}
• Martha Coakley 31% (36%) / 63% (54%) {-32%}
• Republicans in Congress 24% (21%) / 56% (55%) {-32%}
• Democrats in Congress 16% (13%) / 66% (72%) {-50%}

Among Moderates

• Scott Brown 62% (62%) / 31% (21%) {+31%}
• Martha Coakley 40% (51%) / 53% (41%) {-13%}
• Democrats in Congress 25% (30%) / 60% (57%) {-35%}
• Republicans in Congress 20% (18%) / 62% (60%) {-42%}

Do you think Scott Brown is a liberal, moderate, or conservative?

• Liberal 4%
• Moderate 37%
• Conservative 58%

Among Independents

• Liberal 2%
• Moderate 47%
• Conservative 51%

Among Republicans

• Liberal 1%
• Moderate 47%
• Conservative 52%

Among Moderates

• Liberal 6%
• Moderate 46%
• Conservative 49%

Do you think Martha Coakley is a liberal, moderate, or conservative?

• Liberal 64%
• Moderate 32%
• Conservative 4%

Among Independents

• Liberal 71%
• Moderate 26%
• Conservative 3%

Among Democrats

• Liberal 47%
• Moderate 49%
• Conservative 4%

Among Moderates

• Liberal 62%
• Moderate 34%
• Conservative 4%

Do you think Scott Brown has made a strong argument for why he should be elected to the Senate?

• Yes 56%
• No 36%

Among Independents

• Yes 67%
• No 27%

Among Moderates

• Yes 61%
• No 31%

Do you think Martha Coakley has made a strong argument for why she should be elected to the Senate?

• Yes 41%
• No 51%

Among Independents

• Yes 29%
• No 62%

Among Moderates

• Yes 37%
• No 56%

Do you approve or disapprove of the work Ted Kennedy did during his time in the US Senate?

• Approve 63%
• Disapprove 24%

Would you like to see the next Senator from Massachusetts carry on Ted Kennedy’s legacy?

• Yes 47%
• No 41%

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 44% (44%)
• Disapprove 43% (43%)

Among Independents

• Approve 33% (30%)
• Disapprove 52% (54%)

Among Moderates

• Approve 42% (42%)
• Disapprove 42% (43%)

Do you support or oppose President Obama’s health care plan?

• Support 40% (41%)
• Oppose 48% (47%)

Among Independents

• Support 29% (27%)
• Oppose 59% (59%)

Among Moderates

• Support 37% (38%)
• Oppose 50% (48%)

Do you think that Congressional Democrats are too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 53%
• Too conservative 14%
• About right 33%

Do you think that Congressional Republicans are too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 12%
• Too conservative 53%
• About right 35%

Do you think that ACORN will try to steal the election for Martha Coakley?

• Yes 25%
• No 38%
• Not sure 37%

Survey of 1,231 likely voters was conducted January 16-17, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 39% (44%) Democrat; 17% (17%) Republican; 44% (39%) Independent. Political ideology: 54% (47%) Moderate; 22% (27%) Conservative; 23% (26%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 7-9, 2010 are in parentheses.

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