Poll Watch: PPP (D) Massachusetts Senatorial Survey -Scott Brown Leads Martha Coakley

If this latest poll is accurate, Scott Brown should win this election, even if Martha Coakley does receive a little boost from President Obama’s visit.  Find out how you can help here or by clicking on the image below.  If you are a Massachusetts resident, go here to find your local polling place. Polls are open from 7:00am to 8:00pm.

Here is the polling data:

PPP (D) Massachusetts Senatorial Survey

  • Scott Brown 51% (48%)
  • Martha Coakley 46% (47%)

Among Men

  • Scott Brown 56% (53%)
  • Martha Coakley 41% (41%)

Among Women

  • Martha Coakley 50% (52%)
  • Scott Brown 46% (42%)

Among Democrats

  • Martha Coakley 77% (77%)
  • Scott Brown 19% (17%)

Among Republicans

  • Scott Brown 90% (90%)
  • Martha Coakley 8% (6%)

Among Independents

  • Scott Brown 64% (63%)
  • Martha Coakley 32% (31%)

Among Moderates

  • Scott Brown 55% (49%)
  • Martha Coakley 41% (42%)

Among McCain Voters

  • Scott Brown 94% (90%)
  • Martha Coakley 4% (7%)

Among Obama Voters

  • Martha Coakley 76% (79%)
  • Scott Brown 20% (15%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Scott Brown 56% (57%) / 37% (25%) {+19%}
  • Martha Coakley 44% (50%) / 51% (42%) {-7%}
  • Democrats in Congress 30% (33%) / 55% (55%) {-25%}
  • Republicans in Congress 22% (21%) / 63% (59%) {-41%}

Among Independents

  • Scott Brown 68% (70%) / 27% (16%) {+41%}
  • Martha Coakley 31% (36%) / 63% (54%) {-32%}
  • Republicans in Congress 24% (21%) / 56% (55%) {-32%}
  • Democrats in Congress 16% (13%) / 66% (72%) {-50%}

Among Moderates

  • Scott Brown 62% (62%) / 31% (21%) {+31%}
  • Martha Coakley 40% (51%) / 53% (41%) {-13%}
  • Democrats in Congress 25% (30%) / 60% (57%) {-35%}
  • Republicans in Congress 20% (18%) / 62% (60%) {-42%}

Do you think Scott Brown is a liberal, moderate, or conservative?

  • Liberal 4%
  • Moderate 37%
  • Conservative 58%

Among Independents

  • Liberal 2%
  • Moderate 47%
  • Conservative 51%

Among Republicans

  • Liberal 1%
  • Moderate 47%
  • Conservative 52%

Among Moderates

  • Liberal 6%
  • Moderate 46%
  • Conservative 49%

Do you think Martha Coakley is a liberal, moderate, or conservative?

  • Liberal 64%
  • Moderate 32%
  • Conservative 4%

Among Independents

  • Liberal 71%
  • Moderate 26%
  • Conservative 3%

Among Democrats

  • Liberal 47%
  • Moderate 49%
  • Conservative 4%

Among Moderates

  • Liberal 62%
  • Moderate 34%
  • Conservative 4%

Do you think Scott Brown has made a strong argument for why he should be elected to the Senate?

  • Yes 56%
  • No 36%

Among Independents

  • Yes 67%
  • No 27%

Among Moderates

  • Yes 61%
  • No 31%

Do you think Martha Coakley has made a strong argument for why she should be elected to the Senate?

  • Yes 41%
  • No 51%

Among Independents

  • Yes 29%
  • No 62%

Among Moderates

  • Yes 37%
  • No 56%

Do you approve or disapprove of the work Ted Kennedy did during his time in the US Senate?

  • Approve 63%
  • Disapprove 24%

Would you like to see the next Senator from Massachusetts carry on Ted Kennedy’s legacy?

  • Yes 47%
  • No 41%

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

  • Approve 44% (44%)
  • Disapprove 43% (43%)

Among Independents

  • Approve 33% (30%)
  • Disapprove 52% (54%)

Among Moderates

  • Approve 42% (42%)
  • Disapprove 42% (43%)

Do you support or oppose President Obama’s health care plan?

  • Support 40% (41%)
  • Oppose 48% (47%)

Among Independents

  • Support 29% (27%)
  • Oppose 59% (59%)

Among Moderates

  • Support 37% (38%)
  • Oppose 50% (48%)

Do you think that Congressional Democrats are too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

  • Too liberal 53%
  • Too conservative 14%
  • About right 33%

Do you think that Congressional Republicans are too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

  • Too liberal 12%
  • Too conservative 53%
  • About right 35%

Do you think that ACORN will try to steal the election for Martha Coakley?

  • Yes 25%
  • No 38%
  • Not sure 37%

Survey of 1,231 likely voters was conducted January 16-17, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 39% (44%) Democrat; 17% (17%) Republican; 44% (39%) Independent. Political ideology: 54% (47%) Moderate; 22% (27%) Conservative; 23% (26%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 7-9, 2010 are in parentheses.



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